While the European Union and Britain wrestle over the “Irish backstop” issue in their stalled Brexit agreement, a similar problem is taxing another island at the other end of the continent – Cyprus.
Under the withdrawal agreement with the EU, so far rejected by the British parliament, this territory would have remained linked to the bloc under a customs union.
With no deal, the SBAs, which comprise three percent of Cyprus’s landmass and are a farming breadbasket, could be thrown into legal limbo. Trade is an EU competence, which means any arrangement cannot be hammered out bilaterally between Nicosia and London.
Cypriot residents say they are in the dark.
“Of course it’s a concern but unfortunately nobody has informed us about anything,” said Christos Misos, a farmer who helps run a family business in the community of Xylophagou, famed for its red-soil potatoes, a prized Cypriot export.
“Will we need to pay customs duties for our products to go to Europe? What will happen to us? We want someone to tell us – if they know – because things look really fluid.”
EU law does not apply in the SBAs but under the protocol agreed when the Republic of Cyprus joined the EU in 2004, Union law applies in areas such as customs, value-added tax (VAT), agriculture and fisheries.
“If Britain leaves the EU without a deal we will be obliged to have customs checks for the trade of goods,” Cypriot government spokesman Prodromos Prodromou said.
The British military bases, he said, were a “special case”.
“For the moment we do have a deal which is part of the general agreement. Maybe it will be based on that protocol to continue the negotiations to find a way out,” he said.
The SBAs are separated into two main areas – the Western Sovereign Base Area of Akrotiri close to the coastal city of Limassol, and the Eastern Sovereign Base Area of Dhekelia, an enclave which straddles the fertile Kokkinochoria region and the only transit route to the tourist party town of Agia Napa.
They are classified as a British Overseas Territory and help to project British military power in the Middle East.
People there say they have had no contact with authorities on the potential impact of Brexit. Future development of their properties, now subject to some restrictions because of their status within the SBAs, is a primary concern.
“It’s a bit like the Vatican, a state within a state,” said Christofis Kashiouris, the community leader of Ormidhia, a community in the Republic of Cyprus, but surrounded by the SBAs.
Senior EU officials say the issue is legally complicated but their overarching aim is to ensure there is no disruption.
“What we want to ensure is that nothing is changing,” one official said. “It is not straightforward, but the objective is that we would pursue no controls on goods.”
Britain and Cyprus are keen to stress their intent to make any transition as seamless as possible, even though they are still trying to work out how.
The British High Commission (embassy) in Nicosia said it deeply valued “the distinct and long-standing arrangements on the SBA-Cyprus border” as well as the daily benefit it brought to people.
“To be clear, in a Brexit with a Withdrawal Agreement, people living and working in the SBAs will see no changes in their daily routines. The agreement in no way changes the UK’s commitment to the SBAs or to upholding the Treaty of Establishment that underpins the current arrangements.
“In a no-deal Brexit we are confident we can come to a similar arrangement with our Cypriot partners,” it said in a statement.